Monday 14 September 2020

LETTER TO AMERICA – THE WAY IT LOOKS FROM HERE

 


It’s hard to believe that it is going on 23 years since we moved to Dublin. While making Ireland our residence we spend considerable time each summer back in the States and I’m back often on business. It was touch and go for a while this year as to whether we’d get back, but we did, the weather was delightfully hot and sticky (like you don’t get in Ireland), the visits, while limited, were just as meaningful and the baseball season even got started while we were over. There was ample opportunity to complain about the Red Sox – so it was just like old times. But, given the times we are in, there were differences – one of which was the heightened sense of apprehension surrounding the political situation. We recently received an invitation to a party in which one of the pre-conditions for attendance was “NO POLITICAL DISCUSSIONS”. I can’t say I blame them for setting the requirement. In a lot of ways the country feels like a powder keg. I understand the worry – even before making this year’s visit I had attended an event with Bob Woodward where he described America as being engaged in a “Cold Civil War”. As current events indicate even more clearly – Woodward should know.

Every four years I do an “Open Letter” to America setting out what the view from outside the States would be concerning the Presidential contest, giving a perspective and letting people back home know how (and why) I am voting the way that I am. I think I’ll do a couple of letters this year – it’s an important election and there is even more perspective to give since the current President causes such strong reactions amongst, well, amongst everybody.

That said, here I am doing letters to America and does America ever write back? No, dammit, no. Not even a postcard. Would it kill America to even drop one of those touristy type postcards in the mail (assuming, of course, there is still a mail to drop it in)? You know the kind – like the picture attached to this post:

 


Oh well, maybe this year.

One of the other reasons I think that it might take a few letters to get my point across this year is that I’m getting a bit tired of this election devolving in to a fight between two sides giving reasons NOT to vote for the other guy. Although I understand why this is happening, and there are compelling reasons (particularly on one side) not to vote for the candidates in question – I think it’s always better to come up with reasons why you should want to vote for your guy rather than why you should want to vote against the other. So – I‘m going to try to be positive here.

Let’s get rid of the mystery (not much of a mystery to those who know me) and state up front that I am voting for, and urge you to vote for, Joe Biden. But the key statement there is voting FOR him, rather than simply against Trump. In the rush to condemn the President (as tempting as that is) people often forget that there are compelling reasons to support the other guy. If you are sick of people focusing only on why a vote AGAINST someone or something is what you should make this year – please, take a second to look at the following. I think these affirmative arguments may surprise you and start to make everyone feel a bit more positively about the Democratic nominee. At least they will break the string of people telling you just how bad the other guy (whoever that may be) is. I’ve backed each one up with external sourcing – they represent my opinion but I didn’t just make them up.

RUSSIA: You would think Vladimir Putin was on the ballot given the amount of ink he’s receiving in connection with this election. In fact, given the level of interference that Russia has run over the last couple of U.S. Presidential contests – maybe he should be on the ballot. Seriously – there is good reason to be concerned with Russia in the foreign policy realm, and not just due to the efforts undertaken to subvert the electoral process. Russia is going to have to be dealt with no matter who wins - so it would be nice to elect someone who has a history of successfully and competently dealing with the folks you can see from Sarah Palin’s front porch. Luckily, Joe Biden has exactly that sort of history – so, before making your mind up on who to vote for consider this:

In the waning days of the Cold War the U.S. Senate was faced with the difficulty of dealing with an increasingly recalcitrant Soviet Union led by an entrenched group of older, intractable leaders. Leonid Brezhnev, Alexander Kosygin and Andrei Gromyko had been in the Kremlin for decades and were even tougher to deal with than Vladimir Putin. This was especially true in the area of arms control, where the U.S. and U.S.S.R. had spent years putting together the SALT II arms treaty and it was proving a hard sell amongst many elements in the U.S. Senate, particularly the Republican leadership who were demanding further concessions from the Russians. The State Department was viewed with some suspicion by all sides and couldn’t create any leeway. The Soviets were absolutely refusing all attempts to modify the language of the SALT II treaty to make it clearer and more palatable to the Senate, which was required to approve the arms control deal. Joe Biden, as part of a delegation of Senators, took the lead in negotiating concessions out of the Russians – using a strategy that secured America’s goals without resorting to threats, coercion or abject grovelling. Here is a description of Biden’s diplomatic efforts:

“As Biden pointed out some of the more problematic provisions, Gromyko responded by telling him the arguments that he should use with other Senators. In each case, Biden responded that, yes, he understood Gromyko completely, but that some of the more difficult senators would respond in this way or that. As the dialogue proceeded, Gromyko said at one point: "Yes, I see what you mean. Perhaps we can modify the language of the treaty in this way to take care of that point." By asking Gromyko to become his advisor, Biden in the end educated Gromyko about the difficulties of ratifying the treaty in the U.S. Senate and thereby secured changes that he needed.”

That passage is not taken from any Biden campaign literature or self-penned biography. It comes from a book on leadership – actually one on “Leading Leaders” – and it was written in 2006, before Biden was a candidate for any type of national office. A mature leader, who is capable of taking (and winning) affirmative diplomatic initiatives with the Kremlin is something to vote FOR – you do not have to go any further. Sure, it stacks up very well against the ongoing weakness Donald Trump has shown when dealing with the current Russian government – but you don’t even have to consider that in order to find the positive side of the Biden experience in this area. Aren’t we supposed to be looking for something positive in a candidate?

MANAGING AN ECONOMIC RECOVERY: No matter who wins the election in November they are going to be tasked with undoing the damage caused by this pandemic. It will require a sure hand, knowledge of how the system really works, courage to do things the right way (even though that may not be where the headlines or the glory lies) and the ability to show patience when the temptation will be to go for the quick result. That has actually been done before – and not too long ago. Here is a shameless plug - I wrote about this in the first chapter of my book “Hello Out There” (you can get it here: https://www.amazon.com/Hello-Out-There-Rambles-Lockdown-ebook/dp/B08DJ8FWS1/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=%22hello+out+there%22+shea&qid=1599765383&sr=8-1 – end of shameless plug). In the book I was writing about the recovery made from the 2008 financial collapse. But I’d actually written about it earlier as well, in one of my previous “open letters”. Here is what I said back in 2012:

“When the Act was first voted in the Obama administration looked at whether to invest in enormous projects that had been at the center of the “old” New Deal (like the Boulder Dam or Tennessee Valley Authority). They quickly realized that projects like these (each of which employed upwards of 5,000 workers just by itself in the 1930’s) would, in the current times, only employ about 5% of that figure due to increased mechanisation and computer driven labor savings. So instead of opting for this type of ginormous federally run project the stimulus monies have largely been parcelled out pursuant to a closely monitored fund. The wastage rate as a result of this has been remarkably low (auditors have found losses of only $7.2 million – or .001%) and there is no way to characterize an approach of this type as “big government” in the classic sense. In point of fact most politicians would never have allowed this type of methodology. Big projects (rather than the small controlled type) mean big votes. New airports in Ohio, dams in Colorado, port reconstructions in New Hampshire – those would have been headline makers. President Obama should not be penalized for refusing to do what most “big government” pols would have loved to do – use that big pool of money to create large vote grabbing photo opportunities for himself. Instead the mechanism for the stimulus was used in the manner that primarily targeted smaller, less “sexy”, projects. You can get a description of how it was done here: http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/interrogation/2012/08/the_new_new_deal_a_book_argues_that_president_obama_s_stimulus_has_been_an_astonishing_success.html but the main point of this is – the stimulus package worked – and is still working. Believe me – I live in a place where the economic approach didn’t work – and isn’t working – and you in America could be a hell of a lot worse off. You can’t fire a guy for being successful – it’s not fair.”

I still think that the recovery engineered by the Obama administration was its greatest accomplishment, with the fact that it was closely managed and controlled being its most notable characteristic. So, who was responsible for running a project that had a wastage rate of only .001%?

You got it in one – Joe Biden. He was the one put in charge of the administration of the stimulus funds. He brought his experience to bear and the results speak for themselves. Here is an article recapping his effort published by the Brookings Institute:

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2020/04/07/in-administering-the-covid-19-stimulus-the-presidents-role-model-should-be-joe-biden/

Look, politicians who have been around for a long time get roundly criticized – sometimes with good reason. But there is a benefit to having that level of experience – you know all the tricks that people are going to try to pull. Since we know that we are going to have to engineer an economic recovery once this pandemic is over - isn’t the fact that one of the candidates has already been there, done that a good reason to vote FOR them? I don’t have to tear another person down to point to this as a legitimate justification to prefer Joe Biden over ANYONE who might run against him.

But there is an even better argument to be made – one that gets to the heart of that sense of apprehension that I could feel hanging over the country.

DISAGREEING WITHOUT BEING DISAGREEABLE: Here’s a bit of recent history. In the run up to the 1992 election Bill Clinton was able to establish his “bona fides” as a legitimate candidate who was not beholden to special interests by standing up to a rap artist by the name of “Sistah Soulja”. Look it up. In politics this type of thing is still referred to as a “Sistah Soulja Moment” – when a candidate refuses to cave in to the demands of the most extreme elements of what is perceived to be their own base - that is what they are said to have had.

Here's the thing – I always thought that “Sistah Souljah Moments” (right back to the original one) were largely overrated. It’s EASY to disregard the most extreme and inconsequential parts of your purported base. So, Bill Clinton dissed a rapper? – big deal. Barack Obama pulled it off more effectively when he did this:

https://www.politico.com/video/2012/04/obama-calls-kanye-a-jack-ass-012679

I suppose being able to call a jackass a jackass is a good thing – but you know what’s even better? Being able to disagree (forcibly) with someone who is not a jackass and retain their respect after the fact. When politics works – this is why. When it doesn’t work, when it breaks down into name calling and unceasing contention – that’s when people get turned off and the system breaks.

If you want a great example of how to strongly disagree with someone without losing the ability to work with them after the fact – you need look no farther than this past year’s campaign for the Democratic nomination. Putting aside the fact that the Biden people and the Sanders people work much better together than was the case between Sanders and Clinton four years ago – I think there are probably a few people out there who remember this incident, one portion of which was originally structured as the premier “gotcha” moment of the campaign:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=149&v=11U-rzW8Ufc&feature=emb_title

Kamala Harris temporarily pushed herself to the top of the heap with her emotional attack on Joe Biden and his position on busing. There was, of course, one problem with the substance of that attack – it was wrong. I’ve written about this before but it bears repeating:

“The problem I have with this is that it distorts Biden’s record on busing in a manner that will ultimately only benefit Republicans and racists. Biden did not oppose busing as a means to further segregation – he opposed it as an ineffective vehicle to create integration. In that position he has largely been proven correct – Harris herself (perhaps unknowingly) referred to supporting the attempt to find “common ground”. What she may not have realized is that the phrase actually recalls a Pulitzer Prize winning book of the same name by J. Anthony Lukas which concluded that the busing policies supported by Harris and opposed by Biden largely ended up creating a clash between poor whites and poorer blacks rather than anything approximating true integration. That clash – reflected in the current demographics supporting Donald Trump - are at the root of many of the nation’s current racial problems. But in the rush to score political points Harris saw nothing wrong in distorting Biden’s actual position.”

Look, politics is a rough game and the issue is complex – but I’m still not happy about the way Harris behaved here. Nonetheless, in the end it didn’t matter. The reason why it didn’t matter is that in all the following instances where this topic came up Biden wiped the floor with Harris and everyone else who tried to raise this “issue”. It was unfairly presented – but Biden quickly dealt with the accusation, negated it and ended up driving Harris from the race at an early stage. To be honest – if it was me who was at the end of an attack like that I would’ve had a hard time dealing with someone who essentially said “I don’t think you’re a racist, but, I do think you are kind of “racisty””. To Biden’s credit he never got flustered, never lost his cool and was more mature than I would have been. Instead he got the best type of vindication there is.

He won.

More importantly, he didn’t just win, he did it in a way that allowed him to continue to work with his opponent. Most people (myself included) would have looked at that debate exchange and said “there’s no way those two can work together now”. “Most people” did not include Biden who was able to put this behind him, and, of course, Harris is now his running mate.

Damn it – do we need that type of attitude more than ever now or what? The ability to respect, and work, with people you may not always agree with is probably the country’s biggest need at the moment. The inability to have even the most basic rational discussion is infuriating – and if you need any reason to vote FOR Biden (as opposed to against someone) his proven ability to get along with people who he opposes politically is a critical skill. It was, after all, at the core of Harris’ own objection to Biden’s actions in the Senate. She could not see how he could have worked with Southern senators whose career had been marked by overt racism.

The problem is – when you are in the Senate – indeed, when you are trying to get anything meaningful done in politics - you have to. It’s not a choice (unless you wish to perpetuate stagnation). Dealing with people who oppose you is your job. So, you do it, you DO YOUR JOB (Patriots fans will relate) and if you can do it in a manner that shows respect and courtesy, well, all the better.

Myself, I’m trying very hard to be as tolerant. While I may treat some positions on issues with disdain – but I try hard not to treat people that same way. While I might think I have something to teach when it comes to the facts, I try never to forget that I probably have something to learn as well. I also don’t think it is going too far out on a limb to say that Biden reflects this attitude better than any other major candidate in this particular race.

This ability to act decently even when it comes to your opponents is not a trait Biden evidences only when working with Democrats. Biden’s close relationship with John McCain is well known. There is more. Here is a clip of Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, one of Donald Trump’s strongest and most effective Senate allies, talking about Joe Biden.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLMYW8jFPHg

So, if you are sick of voting AGAINST everything, and, instead, want to vote FOR something – I think the choice is pretty clear. Do we want our country to reflect this?:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uNXgjnBpxGI

Or this?:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3o-JxsPEVSo

I know the answer I’d give – at least that’s the way it looks from here.

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