Tuesday, 15 October 2024

THE SHAMING OF THE TRUE (With Apologies to William Shakespeare)

 

It is about time for my quadrennial “Letter to America” which is the view from afar that I try to post prior to every Presidential election.  Let’s do away with the suspense – I’m not, having already argued against him twice - going to reverse course and endorse Donald Trump in his quest to become the once and future dictator.  If anything I like him less this time than in any of his other runs – but, as I’ve always said – there is a need to differentiate Trump from his supporters. I’ve always tried to do that - but I think there is now an even greater distinction to be made – I can separate the Republican candidate from those who merely wish to support his candidacy – and that is what I mean by his “supporters” – but I no longer apply that same waiver to anyone that I would class as a Trump “follower”.  The former category are people who it is possible to disagree with, while the latter are simply dangerous.

So – what is the difference? Let me try to explain. A Trump supporter would claim that the country is better off having someone who pursues an aggressive stance when it comes to our allies – that Trump is correct when he attacks Germany or France for not “pulling their weight” in NATO or that NATO itself is becoming obsolete.  I disagree with that position – but I can see how someone might hold it. My job – since I take a different view -  is to persuasively argue my own position, which is that our allies, given their geographical location at the forefront of Putin's aggression and the fact that they routinely surrender degrees of sovereignty to the U.S. military - are more than pulling their weight.  I’d also say that the situation in Ukraine and the rest of Eastern Europe makes NATO more relevant than ever. That’s one example of a discussion that two opposing sides can have.

A Trump “follower” on the other hand – doesn’t argue these sorts of things – he or she simply restates the clear lies (“alternative facts”) to create a false narrative – and then calls anyone who disagrees a naïve "libtard" or part of some undefined "conspiracy" designed to subvert the "true America". That’s what I mean by “the shaming of the true”.  To this type person Trump’s position has “made America more respected in the world”.  I’m “in the world” – and I know that isn’t true.  A Trump follower says “NATO is stronger with Trump in charge” – a conclusion that no one could possibly justify using any set of facts.  But for a true believer facts have become a mere inconvenience.

That is what is incredibly frustrating about this election – approximately half of the electorate (and I’m not breaking things down by state at this point) is never going to vote for Trump.  Then, let’s say roughly one-quarter of the electorate is within the “Trump supporter” category – you can at least talk about things with them.  Then, finally, there is the “follower” category – the remaining quarter of the electorate.  They live in a fantasy world where facts are optional – or so easily manipulated they are superficial.  And where that quarter comes from might surprise you.

People who should know better routinely restate the obvious simply because – well – there are no consequences.  Here are a few of the areas that are most egregious:

1.       1. We have a border “crisis” of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris’ making.

First of all – let’s stop all the “crisis” bullshit.  World War II – that was a crisis.  The Great Depression – crisis.  Vietnam – crisis.  The situation at the border is just a “problem” that wasn’t created by this administration (which actually worked hard to solve it) but has arisen over decades (that’s why Trump was railing about “a wall” in his initial campaign). What is going on at the border is simply a challenging situation, one that we have faced and handled many times before and one which could be easily handled now. In fact – we know this - because in one of the instances where government actually did what it was designed to do both parties came up with a plan to do exactly that. 

And then Donald Trump killed it. 

Not because it wouldn’t have provided much needed solutions – but because that is exactly what it would have done, and he did not want that to happen. Trump wanted to retain the “border crisis” issue for his campaign and it would have been extremely inconvenient to, you know, solve the damn thing.

Look – you cannot both moan about how immigrants are destroying the country through uncontrolled borders and then block attempts to control the borders.  That would make no sense.  Of course, making sense is not a prerequisite for followers of Donald Trump. I will happily have a discussion with anyone about the state of immigration policy – but don’t tell me it is an existential threat to the nation’s well-being when your candidate walks away from a solution crafted by his own party.  Trump killed the bill because he wanted to be able to rant about murderers, rapists and imaginary pet-eating Haitians.  It was crass political gamesmanship (by a person whose followers revere him because he’s supposedly “not a politician”) and anyone who denies that is simply shaming the truth.

2.        2. The 2020 Election was “rigged” and “stolen”.

The fact that we are still talking about this should disqualify Donald Trump from office in and of itself.  The election was legitimate.  Consider just this one item – in Arizona the Republican majority legislature funded a multi-million dollar “audit” of the election results in Maricopa County – which resulted in a recount that increased Joe Biden’s margin by 360 votes. Unfazed, Trump acolytes pointed to a statement in the audit report which criticized the use of “thin paper” on some ballots, which might have led to “ink seepage” that might have caused a miscount on some ballots.  How the leaking ink was supposed to know which candidate to leak in favor of – I do not know.  On this sort of “evidence” we are expected to question the entire basis of our electoral system. 

In the current election cycle we are told time and time again that an American election was “stolen” and are expected to completely ignore the fact that this is a lie. Trump followers can blindly make what amounts to traitorous statements and somehow, if we tell them that they are wrong we’re the ones who are gullible. Here’s the thing – no we are not.  I have complete confidence in this because I actually did the work to disprove the assertion, in real time, immediately after the election.  Yes, I reviewed the election results in places like Georgia’s Fulton, Walker and Gwinnet counties, did a statistical analysis, compared the numbers to previous elections and reached a conclusion based on real data, not a blind assertion. I really read the list of supposed examples of “election fraud” posted by the Trump White House (try that some time) and found that the examples given covered things like murder for hire schemes, people running for office in two different counties and a woman who forgot to register and was sentenced to one day’s probation.  All those findings were published here:  https://sheamonu-granfalloons.blogspot.com/2020/12/ . 

So – if you want to claim the 2020 election was stolen I’ll pay attention to you when you go out, find actual proof and produce your own equivalent piece of analysis.  Until then – please – just shut up.

3.      3. Kamala Harris is a “Mental Defectiveand Other Assorted Outrages

This could really just be classed under the category of “Kamala Harris is…” and leave the ending to whatever trope Trump and his followers happen to be harping on that day.  The attack on Harris’s mental acuity is just the latest form this gutter-based approach to politics has taken.  In other week’s it was slut shaming (“did you hear she dated Willie Brown, while she was single and he had only been separated from his wife for two years”), race-baiting (“she was Indian and then she decided to be black”), manipulative (“what she did to Joe Biden was a palace coup”), a Marxist (“you know, her father was a Marxist professor and the apple doesn’t fall far from the tree”) and next week it will probably be “Kamala Harris is a shape-shifting lizard alien”. 

None of these are true.  She dated another person who had exited a prior relationship – big deal.  She has always acknowledged all parts of her heritage and never “became” anything. Joe Biden’s decision to exit the race was his alone and, while there were certainly plenty of people in the Democratic party who encouraged him - one of those people does not appear to have been Kamala Harris.  The nearly one-hundred CEO’s who are endorsing her (including this one) probably don’t see her as a Marxist.  Her father might have been, but she never had much contact with him growing up and it’s a bit harsh to visit the sins of the parent on the child.  After all – that would make Donald Trump a racist, mustachioed, slum lord and I have never seen a picture of Trump with a mustache.

In truth – and this letter is all about truth – Harris has turned out to be the one thing Trump most feared. She has shown herself to indisputably be one damn tough lady.  Trump followers may hate to admit it – but if they are being honest (admittedly a stretch for them) they have to. Harris, the supposed mental defective, kicked Donald Trump’s ass in their debate – so much so that he has run like a mutt from their previously scheduled next encounter.  Harris, the supposed Marxist, has published the most complete and business friendly economic plan of the last quarter century – from any candidate, Republican or Democrat.  Harris has stood up to the continual personal attacks on her character better than Hilary Clinton ever dreamed of doing – and she has rarely put a foot wrong so far in this campaign. Though it may be tough for the Trump followers to admit this – I still hold out some hope for the Trump supporters. In the final analysis do they want a 78 year-old narcissist who flails around with semi-coherent rants to lead the country – or would they maybe change their minds and pull the lever for one tough woman who is routinely making him look like a clown?  I know what my answer is.

4.          4. Trump Handled the COVID Crisis Well

Donald Trump was an extremely lucky man for about three quarters of his Presidency.  There were no major crises that arose other than the occasional hurricane (which he managed to screw up – twice – remember the sharpie he used to extend the path of Hurricane Dorian, and the paper towels he threw at people in Puerto Rico following Hurricane Maria? And I’m not even counting his request to use nukes to destroy storms before they get to land). However – that last quarter bore a resemblance to the Atlanta Falcons in Super Bowl LI.

That is because during the final part of his Presidency the globe was hit with a pandemic that definitely qualified as a major crisis. The one thing I had thought would be beyond question was the fact that Donald Trump reacted to the pressure of this situation about as well as Will Smith did to Chris Rock’s Oscar jokes.  Does nobody remember the whole “it will disappear like a miracle” nonsense?  The request to explore ingesting disinfectant as a cure?  The clownish press conferences, the inability to properly distribute tests, the waffling on how to use the vaccines once they arrived – if there is one thing that we can definitely say about the Trump Administration it is that his handling of the pandemic was an absolute shit show.

Or so you would think.  The revisionism in relation to Trump continues to boggle the mind.  His mixed messaging on vaccine uptake extended the pandemic in the U.S. and led to many additional deaths. On that there is no doubt.  Where there was doubt was in whether or not the more drastic action instituted by the Biden Administration helped avoid deaths and end the pandemic.  Whether Trump was a complete disaster was beyond question.  But – in the interest of fairness – let’s take a look at the question of whether the Biden Administration response was “too extreme”.  As a test case we’ll explore the place that is often cited as the paragon of rational restraint – Florida.

Remember – Ron DeSantis based a run for the Presidency on just how efficient Florida was in dealing with Covid.  He claimed that by not caving in to the calls for lock downs, mandatory vaccinations for government workers or other restrictive actions Florida suffered no greater deaths than the rest of the country.  The implication of this is that while Trump may not have been the greatest leader during Covid’s inception, if he had been around post January 2021 everything would have been just fine without the “draconian” steps taken by Biden.  The only problem is – this is a lie.

We know this because of the non-partisan review undertaken by the National Institute of Health.  Turns out – Florida did fine when it was following the guidance of medical professionals – after it went down the DeSantis route – not so good.  Here’s the website to find this data: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38439756/#:~:text=During%20the%2016%2Dmonth%20first,an%20additional%2031%2C000%20people%20died

And here’s the summary:

The first cases of COVID-19 in Florida were diagnosed on March 1, 2020. Three years later, more than 7.3million people have had COVID-19 in Florida, and more than 93,000 individuals have died from this illness. When considering the impact of COVID-19 on Florida, several key factors need to be considered, including that Florida was one of the most medically vulnerable states due to a substantial proportion of older individuals and those with underlying medical conditions. Florida also has a centralized Department of Health and Division of Emergency Management structure that facilitated response activities. Looking at the impact of COVID-19 on Florida, two distinct phases need to be considered: the pre-Delta variant phase from March 2020 to July 2021 and the Delta variant and beyond phase that began July 2021. During the 16-month first phase, about 38,000 people died. Yet, 24,000 people died during the 5-months of the Delta variant wave from July to November 2021. During the Omicron waves that followed Delta, an additional 31,000 people died. Florida thus went from ranking 26th in death per capita in the United States at the end of the first phase to 10th a few months into the Delta wave and now ranks 8th. Why did these phases differ so dramatically in terms of mortality? During the first phase of the pandemic, adherence to established nonpharmacological and older adult protection measures was recommended. When COVID-19 vaccines became available in December 2020, there was an aggressive campaign to promote COVID-19 vaccination, and public acceptance was high. The second phase followed political opposition to CDC and public health expert guidelines, the rise of anti-vaccine sentiment and misinformation, and falling vaccination rates. These factors contributed to considerable population vulnerability to severe disease when the Delta variant hit. As the former State Surgeon General and Secretary of Health of Florida from June 2019 to September 2021, this report provides perspective on the shifting impact and response to COVID-19 in Florida, which is the third most populous state in the United States. This perspective shows the clear consequences of shifting from standard public health practices and vaccine promotion to attacks on public health and vaccines.

I was actually present at a recent meeting where one of the heads of Miami Dade County’s business chamber told the true story about why Florida changed its tactics on Covid and opened up the beaches and amusement parks.  It had little to nothing to do with the fact that Florida wasn’t worried about increased deaths.  It was because due to the way Florida has structured its tax regime – if it didn’t open up, it would go broke.  You see – the Sunshine State has it built into its constitution that it can never institute a state income tax.  The only reason it gets away with this is because of its extremely high (and regressive) sales tax – which is paid by not just residents – but by the enormous number of tourists entering the state as well.  Florida desperately needed to milk people from out of state in order to avoid bankruptcy. Disease prevention would just have to wait. 

Meanwhile – the Biden administration was doing what grown-ups do (and what the childish Trump had always refused to do) – telling everyone to stay in bed, take their medicine and do what the doctor told them.  Yes – it was a royal pain in the ass for a while – but, it worked.  The pandemic, which Trump had (let’s face it) never been able to get his hands around, was finally put in the rear-view mirror. But don't try to tell that to a Trump follower - there is no quicker way to be labeled a tool of "them", the deep-state interests who are somehow tied into big pharma or, oh, I don't know, maybe the producers of "Tiger King" - than to try to reference reality and criticize the way Trump dealt with the biggest crisis of his tenure in office. 

5.          5. Inflation is Joe Biden and the Democrats' Fault

This has proven to be one of the tougher myths to counter – mainly because inflation is not really the “fault” of anyone – it’s an economic outcome that can be attributed to many independent factors.  It is true that it typically gets blamed on whoever happens to be in office when it hits – but that is like blaming someone for the weather (yeah – I know – the Trump followers do that too). 

Inflation is like trying to turn an aircraft carrier – you can start it on a certain course but it could be miles before you actually notice that there has been a change in direction.  The round of inflation that hit during the past few years had its roots in three main things – cheap money, supply chain disruption and war. 

The first of these – cheap money – had been around for years as interest rates remained quite low for a record period of time.  I think it was exacerbated to the point that it became an inflationary catalyst by two things – the Trump approach to tariffs (he oversaw the implementation of tariffs against China and offset these by creating the biggest government welfare giveaway in history in the form of his agricultural subsidies) and the “stimulus” package offered during Covid.  Yes, the pre-Biden Democrats supported Covid stimulus packages as well – but you know who it was that insisted they be made even bigger?  Yup – this guy:  https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/22/trump-calls-covid-relief-bill-unsuitable-and-demands-congress-add-higher-stimulus-payments.html . This type of policy gave people all kinds of cash during a period of time that they were sitting at home and had no where to spend it.  Of course, once things started to open up all that money was being spent – which was an enormous inflationary impetus.

Of course – it wasn’t the only factor.  Another was the fact that at the same time demand was rising (since people could go to the stores again) supply was being choked.  My favorite example has to do with the Dublin airport (though similar issues about bringing people back to work can be found globally).  When Covid ended the airport told workers that had been laid off that they could come back to work – with one catch – they would have to repay the money they had been given as part of the package received when they were let go.  Unsurprisingly – no one wanted to go back to work.  The result was that anyone who was working got loads of overtime and the costs (and time) associated with shipping goods went up. This global shortage of supplied goods was another strong influence on inflation.  This wasn’t anyone’s “fault” – other than the poor planning that went into the original schemes established to combat the pandemic.

Finally – Vladimir Putin drove costs worldwide even higher when he attacked Ukraine.  We can talk quite a bit about whether Russia was emboldened into this action by the chaos and confusion Trump has brought to NATO and the direct actions he took to undermine Ukraine’s position – but there is no arguing about how Russian aggression was a major driver of the inflationary period that became noticeable immediately after Trump left office.  I would have no problem arguing that the aircraft carrier of inflation was set on its course while Trump was in office.  I would also have no problem in arguing that the period of runaway inflation is largely ended – as long as he stays out of office.  In short – the vast majority of independent and reputable economic models show that Donald Trump’s economic plans will send the country back into the morass of inflation.  So – if you want your prices to go up again – vote Trump.

These are all truths - but we have reached the point where it feels like you have to apologize for telling them.  Lies have become so common that truthing almost calls out to be prefaced by saying "I'm sorry to have to bring this up - but...".  

Except - I'm kind of sick of being ashamed of telling the truth.

I could go on listing the lies, adding more numbers to this letter and backing it up with all kinds of evidence – but it won’t convert any “followers” of the Orange Menace. There is one tactic that does seem to have shaken people out of their mindless rapture – at least for a while.  That was when a certain adjective was applied to the actions of Mr. Trump and his running mate.

I’m speaking, of course, of “weird”.

It’s weird that a candidate for President would pay a porn star hundreds of thousands of dollars.

It’s weird that a candidate for Vice President would call childless women “cat ladies”.

It’s weird that someone thinks windmill noise causes cancer (or kills birds).

It’s weird that a major party nominee thinks the volume of water used to flush a toilet is a major issue.

It’s weird that a candidate would seek the endorsement of someone who picks up and transports dead bears and whale heads in his car - and even weirder that they would consider appointing them to a position in charge of national health policy.

It’s weird that someone would invite Russia to interfere with our elections.

It’s weird that a grown man doesn’t know how to order donuts.

It’s weird that a candidate would claim (falsely) that hurricane aid is being withheld when thousands of people and billions of dollars are racing to the assistance of victims.

It’s even weirder that his supporters would claim that the hurricanes happen because “they” control the weather.

It is weird that a Vice Presidential candidate would describe his running mate as “unfit for public office”.

It's weird that a group that gave us the legislative circus that was "musical speakers" and the likes of Matt Gaetz, George Santos, Lauren Boebert and Marjorie Taylor Greene as members of Congress should put itself forward as the "party of good government".

It’s weird that a candidate would accuse legal residents of eating cats and dogs.

It’s weird for a candidate to say that if you vote for him “you’ll never have an election again”.

It’s weird that a former President can’t get the support of his prior cabinet. (Or his former Vice President – of course, he did put him in danger of being killed).

Bottom line – these guys – whether you support “conservative” causes or not – are weird.  The biggest contribution Joe Biden made (and he made others – but this was the biggest) was the return to normality that he brought.  When the 2020 election results were finally announced I said, in this forum, “Thank God, now when I wake up and say “I wonder what that crazy mutt got up to while I was asleep – I’ll be talking about my dog and not the President”.  I still hope that is what I’m able to say after this one. 

So please – vote for the woman who has turned out to be tougher than anyone ever thought she would be – and not the weirdo.

Tuesday, 12 December 2023

WINK

 

I want to talk about a sensitive and multi-faceted subject but I'm pretty sure I'm not a good enough writer to capture all that nuance.  Instead, for the purposes of this essay, I'm going to revert to a trick that you might find in the pantomimes that are currently playing throughout Dublin during this holiday season.  Whenever a character wants to get the point across that they “don't really mean all that they are saying” - that perhaps there is another level of understanding that is required beyond the mere words they spout or actions they take - they will turn to the audience and give them an exaggerated wink.  For example, the big bad wolf might be following little red riding hood across the stage and get asked "You aren't following me so that you can steal the goodies I'm bringing to Grandma, are you?" The wolf will say something like "Of course not my dear - I'm only following you to make sure nothing falls out of your basket - I only want to make sure you get to Grandma safely."  Red then replies, "Oh that's OK then" and turns back while the wolf - well, the wolf turns to the audience, points to his eye and gives a protracted, over-the-top "WINK".  Having seen this all the kiddies watching know for sure that this wolf is not really looking to keep Grannie's goodies safe - he just wants to establish where Red is going.  I think that there is more than a bit of that (not all that subtle) hidden messaging going on in much of the recent rhetoric emanating from any number of sources in Ireland - and in order to point out where that is taking place I'm going to resort to inserting the occasional "WINK".

 

For the subject of this article is going to be the reaction of a broad swathe of the Irish public to the recent events in the Middle East. In order to show the depth of their concern for the "people of Palestine" certain of the populace based here, comfortably sitting on their collective fat arses thousands of miles from the conflict, have helpfully:  voted to fly the Palestinian flag over Dublin City Hall; celebrated the return of a child taken hostage by the same people operating under that flag by saying "a child was lost and now is found" – (thus stretching the definitions of "lost and found" to the breaking point);  retweeted (reX’d?) suggestions that Israel be relocated to an area found in Russia somewhere north of Mongolia “that is already allocated as a Jewish ruled region”, adopted the seemingly tourist oriented slogan “from the river to the sea”; helpfully explained that the attack on the October 7th rave was perfectly civilized until the police showed up and insisted on interrupting the invasion and otherwise voiced their ”concern” in a variety of equally useful and inciteful ways.  Throughout this campaign these “concerned” groups and individuals have made it clear that their “concern” is based solely upon their affinity for the poor victims of over-the-top Israeli aggression, and derives not one iota from that nasty, bigoted sentiment known as “anti-semitism”.  Goodness gracious, not at all.  Why, some of their favourite comedians are Jewish. Honestly – you’d think that it had hardly ever occurred to them that there were Jews in Israel. New York and Hollywood – yes – but Israel – it had nearly slipped their mind.

Oh – you know what’s coming now don’t you…

Oh yes you do…

WINK”.

I resort to an optical flutter here for the simple reason that I can’t imagine any other rational explanation for such irrational conclusions.  Take, for example, the above noted reference to a “lost child”.  That bit of political doublespeak came from no less than the once and current Irish Prime Minister (Taoiseach) Leo Varadkar.  Varadkar is one of those politicians who tries so hard to be inoffensive that he almost always manages to give offense.  One can look back through the archive of this blog to find similar examples, such as Leo endeavouring to pay loving tribute to a police force that included the Black and Tans. If Leo were giving a toast at a wedding he would compliment the bride by saying “doesn’t she look so adequate today” or wish the loving couple to live together in happiness “for all the days of their lives or an otherwise mutually acceptable length of time”. Leo’s “child was lost and now is found” moment arose when he was attempting to celebrate the return of Emily Hand, an Irish citizen who was not “lost” but abducted by Hamas on October 7th, held captive and was informed of the fact that her step-mother had been murdered once, in Varadkar-speak, she had been “found”. 

Let’s be clear (even if the Taoiseach’s statement wasn’t) the only children Leo Varadkar should be referring to as “lost” will be those trying to find their way to the new Children’s Hospital that his government has located somewhere in an inaccessible corner of Dublin.  The supposed analogy to the biblical story of the prodigal son is embarrassingly inappropriate (the “lost child” in that story had voluntarily wandered off to spend his inheritance, not been torn from his house and carried off into captivity) and the Israeli government properly summonsed the Irish ambassador to voice a direct complaint about the tasteless comment.  One can only imagine the back and forth at that meeting – but I would hope the Israeli minister only looked across to his Irish counterpart and said something along the lines of “Dude – REALLY?”

Still, that didn’t stop the political class in Ireland (both in partnership and opposition) from rallying around their leader, saying that the Israeli response was an “overreaction” and that “everyone knew what the Taoiseach was saying”.  The scary thing is – I think everyone does. The categorization of Emily as being the victim of circumstance rather than of horrific intent goes to the heart of the matter.  Varadkar was, as he always does, attempting to play to all sides, regardless of degree of fault. One would almost worry that such a statement could only arise if the speaker kind of blamed the victim for being associated with the people who were the object of the attack.  Certainly, it couldn’t be that this was an easier statement to make because, after all, Emily was at a kibbutz – hanging around with, you know, all those – ummm – Jews. 

Certainly not. 

Never.

WINK”.

I take no joy in accusing any group of people of collective anti-semitism of this sort, but there are certain indicators that, if present, make such a conclusion inevitable.  Here are some of them:

1.    1.    You hold the object of your ire to a standard of conduct that you would never apply to yourself.

To listen to the rhetoric from much of the Irish media you would think that the current state of affairs in Gaza arose strictly from the events of the 7th of October.  That the forces of Hamas attacked Israel on that day and that the Israeli response arises from that single act.  If that had been true – if the Hamas attack was limited to a single massive stand-alone raid conducted across the Israel/Gaza border – I would still argue that no Irish citizen (or citizen of any country) would ever stand for such an event and would want the all the forces at their disposal brought to bear against the perpetrators. I suspect that even if October 7th were the only provocation they had faced the same people who say that the Israeli response is “excessive” would be crying out for exactly the same reply if something like that had ever happened to them.

But, while that might be the case – that’s not even close to reflecting the true history of what has happened in the area around Gaza.  How many attacks aimed at Israel from Gaza do you think have actually taken place since the turn of the millenium?  Dozens?

Nope.

Hundreds?

Nope.

Thousands?

Warmer – but not really that close.

Give up?

It is estimated that since the year 2000 Hamas forces have launched upwards of 20,000 rockets across the border into Israel.  That’s an average of about 3 rockets every day for the last two decades.  Israel did not attack the Hamas presence in Gaza precipitously – before taking these steps they had reinforced the border crossings (which Hamas managed to breach), invested in a defensive missile shield (which Hamas managed to overwhelm) and had attempted to shut off the flow of rocket-building material from Hamas allies like Iran (which the Iranians and Hamas have obviously been able to avoid).  When, on the 7th of October Israel was faced with an attack from Hamas – it wasn’t the instigation of a conflict – it was the escalation of one.  The level of restraint shown by Israel up to the time of 7 October was extraordinary – and while the Israeli government’s policies concerning Gaza and West Bank can (and should) be questioned – the fact that those policies were being debated while under a level of attack that was miles beyond anything any other similarly situated nation endures is unquestionable.

Which is why criticism of the Israeli response following 7 October is, in many ways, so unjustifiable. There is simply no way, no way whatsoever, that anyone who has not experienced this type of attack can say that they would not respond exactly the same way.  That’s because they can’t even say that before October’s events they wouldn’t have reacted in much the same manner. Dublin, in the 1970’s, was hit with one day, one, where multiple bombs were planted in the city centre. It is still a source of anguish here (as it should be). Imagine, for one second, if instead of one day Ireland had faced 24 years of multiple explosions raining down on it from across the border.  Then, after trying to defend against this outrage, on a single day 5,000 more such bombs were shipped across the line, while terrorists raided Dundalk, Drogheda and Carrick-on-Shannon, killing, raping, maiming, snatching up hundreds of hostages and then racing back across the border to thumb their noses at you.  If you had the capacity to respond – wouldn’t you? And if you expected someone else not to respond – would that expectation be based on reality – or on something a bit more biased?

Like, for instance, they’re Jews and they kind of asked for this.

Of course, that would never be behind such a sentiment.

No way – you would never expect someone to put up with more than you ever would just because of their – ummm – “Semitic heritage”.

Would never even enter your mind.

WINK

2.    2. You willfully ignore the opinions of others despite the fact that you would ordinarily readily accept them.

In my opinion the fate of the people of Gaza is down to the tactics, policies and actions of its rulers – Hamas. While the actions of the Israeli forces deployed in Gaza are terrible – there is a general reluctance to acknowledge that this is not a war of their making – nor is it a type of war of their making. However, rather than taking the time to understand the actual history of the Hamas government in Gaza people are simply defaulting to labeling every Israeli activity as a “war crime”. But when forced to fight this type of battle the resulting carnage – however terrible – is not a war “crime” – it is simply “war”.  That is what we are confronted with in Gaza – a war – and, to our collective horror we are seeing just how bad that is.  But its nature and character are not dictated by Israel but by Hamas.  It is Hamas who has turned Gaza, initially the site of a hoped-for Palestinian homeland – into an oversized, tunnel ridden, heavily armed military encampment.  It is Hamas who have turned “civilian” sites (hospitals, schools, entire apartment complexes) into virtual building sized booby traps. It is Hamas who have made every crevice of the territory they rule into a battlefield.

“Who the hell are you to tell us about the history of Hamas – you’re a nobody” you may say.  Yup.  I’m nobody and you would never be expected to listen to me.  If I were to say that Hamas is the reason Palestinians don’t already have a homeland, if I were to say that Hamas is the cause of civilian deaths in Gaza because they weaponize civilians and consider all Palestinians to be drafted into the battle against “the Jews”, if I were to say that the constant violence directed by Hamas against Israel is primarily based upon the goal of a Jewish genocide – you could ignore me.  I’m nobody.

But there are others who have espoused exactly the same opinions who Ireland most certainly does not treat as a nobody – unless and until their opinions become inconvenient. Bill Clinton, for example, is the subject of virtual meltdown every time he visits these shores.  Huge crowds greet his appearances, his role in the Irish peace process is constantly lauded, his efforts during that period have spawned innumerable books and even formed the basis for much of the sub-plot of “Derry Girls” – there’s even a statue of him in Ballybunion, where Clinton, at one time, played a round of what is alleged to have been “golf”.

So – what does this somebody have to say about Hamas? Well, he blames them for the fact that his Middle East peace effort ultimately failed. He considers them to have a genocidal approach to Israel and the Jews that make their home there. He points out that they are notorious for placing their own citizenry in harms way as a distinct military tactic.  But don’t take my word for it – here he is, as quoted in a Politico article when the topic of appeasing Hamas came up:

 "Depends on whether you care what happens to the Palestinians as opposed to the Hamas government and the people with guided missiles," the former president answered.

“They were human beings in Gaza,” the audience member said.

“Yes, they were,” Clinton said. “And Hamas is really smart. When they decide to rocket Israel, they insinuate themselves in the hospitals, in the schools, in the highly populous areas, and they are smart.”

 The line prompted applause, and he continued: “They said they try to put the Israelis in a position of either not defending themselves or killing innocents. They’re good at it. They’re smart. They’ve been doing this a long time.”

“I killed myself to give the Palestinians a state. I had a deal they turned down that would have given them all of Gaza,” Clinton said.

Oh – by the way – that article was published in 2016.  Hamas had been “doing this a long time” back then – they’ve been doing it even longer since.  Their strategy is to integrate the population into the terrorist infrastructure – thus making any retaliation subject to the claim of targeting innocents. Of course – it is no such thing – rather it is the act of putting innocents in the target that creates the situation we find ourselves in – and it is Hamas who put the pieces for this war in place.

So, what is to be done about this situation?  Most commentators agree (and history shows) that if you begin a war against Hamas and then leave Hamas in control at the end of that period – all you do is guarantee another war.  As cruel as this response has been it would be even crueler to end it in such a manner as to do nothing but ensure we end up right back here again anyway.  Yet, despite this difficult but seemingly unavoidable logic all one reads here is how Israel “needs to adhere to the “rules of warfare” (as if the battlefield is the equivalent of a game of Risk where you simply look on the back of the box for the rules), must accept a cease fire while the enemy continues to hold hostages, weapons, territory and power - and should allow unnamed “third parties” to act as peacekeepers when there is absolutely no peace to keep.

When Bill Clinton, Joe Biden, Barack Obama or whichever American president or notable shows up in Ireland he is grandly feted and the country virtually shuts down. They are accorded levels of respect and granted degrees of wisdom that – and as an American I can say this – probably extend well beyond what one should reasonably expect. That is – they are given these accolades in all areas except when it comes to Israel. Then they are merely seen as being manipulated by the puppet masters who represent certain unspecified “interests”.  Then they are gullible Yanks slave to the influence of parties with another (unnamed) agenda.

Interests?

Agendas?

Puppet masters?

You couldn’t be inferring that these might involve – oh, I don’t know – those infernal Jews?

Certainly not.  Shame on me for even bringing that up.

WINK

3.    3. You conveniently ignore the conduct of those that you would ordinarily condemn, simply because that conduct is targeted at the group for which you hold a prejudice.

Hamas, the aforementioned group that rules Gaza with an iron hand and makes its own citizens a part of their terrorist machinery – are – to put it mildly, not good guys.  Yet it seems to bring a tear to the eye of a huge portion of the Irish population whenever Hamas causes a conflict and Israel retaliates.  Here is what Amnesty International said about Hamas' reaction the last time they instigated an Israeli response:

Many of these unlawful killings were publicly billed as attacks against people assisting Israel during the July and August 2014 conflict as part of an operation, codenamed “Strangling Necks”, to target “collaborators”. However, in reality, at least 16 of those executed had been in Hamas custody since before the conflict broke out. Many had been awaiting the outcome of their trials when they were taken away from prison and summarily executed.

Hamas forces also abducted, tortured or attacked members and supporters of Fatah, their main rival political organization within Gaza, including former members of the Palestinian Authority security forces. Not a single person has been held accountable for the crimes committed by Hamas forces against Palestinians during the 2014 conflict, indicating that these crimes were either ordered or condoned by the authorities.

“Instead of upholding justice, the Hamas authorities and leadership have continuously encouraged and facilitated these appalling crimes against powerless individuals. Their failure to even condemn the unlawful killings, abduction and torture of perceived suspects leaves them effectively with blood on their hands...”

So – while the vast majority of Irish roundly condemn Israeli actions against Hamas – Hamas seems to view it as an opportunity to clean house.  There is no way that any reasonable person should be treating anything associated with Hamas as admirable or even worthy of sympathy.  Furthermore, and without unduly belaboring the point, this should extend to the outside operators who supply Hamas, mainly Iran and Qatar. Both of these countries could really care less about the plight of the Palestinians. What they are really doing is ensuring that the endless state of conflict between Israel and the Palestinian people continues.  So long as there is an Israeli (read “Jewish”) bad guy out there this can be used to create a convenient target or, yes, “scapegoat”, for the potentially troublesome citizenry of those countries.  Qatar is the master of this tactic – invest in a World Cup, funnel money to terrorists – anything to keep the general public from questioning why, in the 21st century, it is ruled by a hereditary monarch holding near complete power.  In Iran there is even more reason to fulminate conflict away from the homeland. Iranian dissenters have been taking to the streets in increasing numbers and the best-known of them, Narges Mohammadi, was just awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for her work on behalf of women’s, and more generally, human, rights in Iran. It would have been interesting to hear her Nobel lecture, but that couldn’t happen because she is in an Iranian prison. These are the sorts of people that align themselves against Israel.

And make no mistake about it – when I say they align against Israel I mean they target Jews specifically.  There is no distinction made between Israel as a country and its citizenry.  There are no Israeli civilians – they are all Jews, and all Jews are enemies as far as Hamas and Israel’s Arab enemies are concerned. The phrase “from the river to the sea” sounds innocuous but what it derives from is an unambiguous message of hate. It describes the goal of pushing all Israeli Jews from the Jordan river into the Mediterranean Sea. It posits a genocide. Take a look at this quote from a book outlining the role of the United Nations in the Middle East:

With the UN patrols gone the Egyptian and Israeli soldiers faced each other with no buffer in between, while the government controlled radios in Cairo and other Arab capitals blared martial music and slogans like “Death to the Jews of Israel, drive them into the sea”.

That’s actually from a children’s book – published in 1968, more than a half century ago. Nothing seems to ever change. When uninformed people chant “Intifada” or “From the River to the Sea” – they aren’t expressing solidarity with an oppressed people – they are (hopefully unknowingly) advocating the extermination of Jews.

There is no way that most Irish people would associate themselves with regimes that routinely enslave people, murder dissidents, abuse women and advocate genocide. But that is what is being done in the most matter-of-fact way all the time when common cause is found with Hamas and its allies.  Why is that?

Well – it can’t be anything to do with the fact that we are talking about Israel, a country full of…

C’mon you know what I mean…

Orange groves?

Nope.

Winners of the Eurovision contest?

Only one of those – c’mon now, what is Israel known for?

Surely you can’t be referring to people of the Jewish faith?

Well, yes.

Let me assure you – in its support for the Palestinian cause the handwringing denizens of Ireland have never, sir, never – even considered the fact that there are a large number of Jews in Israel to be relevant.

Certainly not…

WINK

4.    4. You routinely engage in expressions of false equivalence.

Let me be clear about something from the outset of this section. I do not consider the current government in Israel to be even remotely blameless for the mess that currently exists in the region. One can only hope, and it appears that this day is arriving soon, that the people of Israel hold Benjamin Netanyahu accountable for spending far more time over the past decade worrying about his personal legal defense than about the defense of his own country.  I think there is ample evidence being accumulated that shows the right-wing interests in Israeli politics felt the continued presence of Hamas in Gaza actually helped them – and so endeavoured to keep them around on the assumption that they could be “controlled”.  Well, how’s that working out for ya?

But there is still an enormous difference between the Israeli government and the forces arrayed on behalf of Hamas.  For one, there is the ability to criticize the Israeli government – as I just did and as millions of Israeli Jews and non-Israeli Jews are doing. If the same thing were to be done by an opponent of Hamas in Gaza – they’d be shot.  That’s a fairly trustworthy sign that attempting to equate the two regimes is an exercise in false equivalence. 

Why then do so many people do it?  Anti-semitism is an easy avenue to follow – and I think its (largely unacknowledged) existence provides a slippery slope for people who would otherwise not fall into this trap.  Because they have this built in prejudice it becomes easy to end up advocating for causes that are not worthy of their consideration. 

So do I think anyone who I suspect of holding such prejudices to be a “bad person”? Strangely – no, I do not.  Of course, I think anti-semitism is bad – but people come by their prejudices in many ways and sometimes may not even be aware they hold them.  I point them out here because I think people sometimes rely too much on the escape that a “WINK” seems to offer. So, I don’t think you are necessarily a bad person if you ignore the roots of your mistaken belief.

I just think you’re delusional.

I think – and this is the real point of my taking the time to write this – that you may very well be a good person – and you very clearly know the difference between good and bad.  What you don’t understand is the difference between bad and evil.

The United States’ approach to the siege in Waco Texas was bad policing, bad tactics and resulted in a bad outcome.

Timothy McVeigh pulling up with a half-ton of explosives to blow up a building full of children and clerical workers is evil.

The pursuit of a war in Iraq to effect regime change was a bad policy that gave rise to enormous suffering.

The circumstance that gave rise to that war was Al Qaeda commandeering four planes and flying them into multiple buildings as part of a sick semi-religious mission. That was evil.

The acts of the Israeli government in allowing Qatar to fund Hamas in an effort to maintain a semblance of government in Gaza while using the continued existence of Hamas to prop up its own legitimacy?  That was a foolish and bad undertaking, for which a price should be exacted.

Flying terrorists into a rock concert/rave and invading peaceful villages to murder, rape and kidnap in the name of killing Jews? – flat out evil.

We have to be able and unafraid to differentiate between these two types of events, those that are merely bad and those that represent a true evil. If we do not do so we will never overcome the single greatest threat that continuing to equate them creates – that of normalizing evil. Increasingly, behaviour that would have been seen, at one point in time, as well beyond the pale is now being treated as just the next inevitable step in the road to anarchy. Known evils – like incipient anti-semitism – make the trip down that road so much easier to take.  Hamas is an evil organization – and until that is recognised the people of the region – Palestinian and Israeli, Jew and gentile, will continue to suffer.  As difficult as it is to see happen it is better to have this done with now than to plaster over the wound, let Hamas grow back and then do all this over yet again.  Keeping the prejudices of anti-semitic tropes alive only creates more suffering – it doesn’t solve anything.

 So, there you go.  I’m certain that having written this entry I have brought light to the darkness and  straightened out this entire mess.  No one will ever make this same mistake again.

Problem solved.

WINK

Friday, 6 October 2023

Three Lies Unmasked

OK, by Wednesday of this past week there had been so much nonsense playing out in the news that I had the following reaction: It's Wednesday - so it must be the Congress we have to look to for the outrage of the dayThat’s the schedule now isn’t itSupreme Court on Monday, civil trial Tuesday, Congress Wednesday, federal prosecutions Thursday, Florida Friday and potluck SaturdaySunday is a day of rest where we all just scream at the referees and officials of our favorite sporting events.   


This is what passes for order these days. 


Sigh.  


Unfortunately, the truth is there is actually no predictable order to any of the things going on in the world of American current eventsIt nearly passed unnoticed when the ex-President of the United States advocated for the execution (yes, that’s correct – the execution) of the outgoing head of the Joint Chiefs of StaffIn times past you might have expected that to get a bit more airplay.   


Then the Speaker of the House was fired by his own party – well, 8 members of his own party, which will no doubt give rise to a documentary called “Eight Is Enough” or something similar. It was during this contretemps that I noticed a number of news stories and claims by the various parties that were – well I don’t want to say they were “lies” but… 


Oh, to hell with it – they were lies. 


Not the kind of lie where you say you saw Bigfoot going through your garbage cans or that your 200 square foot extension is actually 2000 square feet. I’m talking about a more subtle lie – one that could be claimed to be “true” if you just threw out all past experience and knowledgeHere are a few of the lies I’m talking about as real-life examples. 


Lie Number One – The Matt Gaetz Crowd “Joined With Democrats” to Oust Kevin McCarthy 


You may have noticed news stories that say “Kevin McCarthy was removed from the Speaker’s seat when a rogue group of far-right Republicans joined with Democrats to oust him”. If you looked at the numbers this would appear true Democrats plus those eight Republicans joined together to total 216 votes – enough to remove McCarthy from his job.   


Except they really didn’t. 


All the Democrats did is what every party does when it comes to a vote for the Speaker’s job – they voted for their own party to have the positionThat’s the way the House works, has worked and will (presumably) continue to work absent extraordinary events (which, by the way, may happen next week). 


Whenever the office of Speaker is voted on the two parties go into caucus and select a candidate to stand for the roleThis part of the process can be contentious – let’s say there are 200 Democrats who caucus together – when they meet amongst themselves the vote for who will be put forward as Speaker can be highly contested – and could even conceivably be split 101-99.  But here’s the thing – whoever gets the 101 votes in the caucus – gets the full 200 votes when the matter goes to the Congress as a whole.  You get behind your own guy. The same applies to votes like the one concerning the removal of the Speaker – each party is supposed to control their own membership to vote as a blocThat, after all, is why they are set up as separate parties, why they are given only a certain amount of seats on each committee, how they are assigned things even as trivial as office space. Crossovers happen all the time when voting on bills or issues – but almost never when dealing with organizational matters like this. 


That is exactly what the Democrats did here – they aren’t supposed to vote for Kevin McCarthy and they didn’tI mean just think rationally about this for a second - in what universe would the Democratic party ever coalesce to save Kevin McCarthy? The man has blamed them for everything from the invasion of Ukraine to the state of Donald Trump's hair. They followed time honored tradition and held ranks – performing as a loyal opposition – but – as they are supposed to - as a true opposition party 


Of course – if the Republicans had simply done the same and followed form – held a caucus, presented their arguments and then gone to the floor as a unit (a true majority party) – then none of this would have happenedInstead, as we all know – Matt and the Seven Dwarves decided not to follow this time-tested processInstead – they went off and toppled Kevin McCarthy for working across the aisle to prevent a government shutdown. They most certainly did not “work across the aisle” to get rid of him. 


Ostensibly the reason they did this is because McCarthy dared to not allow the federal government to shut down. Look – I get that though I (and the majority of the American people) may not want their government to drop tools and walk away from the job – others may see this is exactly the type of “come to Jesus” moment that is neededBut, given the fact that the response the rogue Republicans made to the funding deal was completely over the top let’s not conflate the ordinary, expected, entirely routine actions of the Democratic House members with the extraordinary, unexpected and unusual approach taken by the Republican caucusThe Republicans did this to themselves the Democrats were just observers of the chaos. 


Lie Number Two – The Civil Case Against Donald Trump is Bogus Because “The Banks Got Paid Back”.


Donald Trump is involved in a myriad of criminal and civil cases at the moment. However, as has become increasingly clear, the one that troubles him the most is the civil case brought by the Attorney General of New York claiming that the Trump Organization systematically lied on financial forms submitted to banks throughout the years leading up to his Presidency and beyond. This action could result in serious losses to the Trump properties and could lead to the organization being banned from doing business in New York. Trump is understandably worried at that possibility and claims that this is all a bogus effort solely motivated by politics.

One of the reasons floated by Donald Trump when claiming he is the victim of a “witch hunt” is the assertion that the banks that lent him money in reliance on these false statements “all got paid back’. So – what’s the big deal? No one lost any money.

This seems to sound fairly reasonable. Isn’t this a victimless crime? Aren’t there better things for the Attorney General of New York to be doing than going after someone who has paid the banks who lent him all this money back? Isn’t this a red herring (or, perhaps, an orange one)?

No - it is not. You need to look at the purpose of the law in order to see that the case is entirely justified. The law under which the Trump organization is being tried is not there to protect the banks – the lenders – against false statements. They are big boys and should be able to take care of themselves.

Instead – it is there to protect the borrowers – more specifically potential borrowers or “the market” – against the impact of these type falsifications.

Think of it this way. Let’s say a bank – we’ll call it “Bailey’s Building and Loan” - announces that it is going to create a civic development fund of ten million dollars for the town of – you got it – Bedford Falls. Any prospective customer who can convince the BB&L that they have a safe, reasonable project they want to undertake can apply for part of that fund. The BB&L has a number of applicants for that money – and they pick out ten finalists. Nine of those are small developers – looking for a million apiece to build a whole range of new projects – houses, community centers, shopping malls, etc. One of them – after a nationwide search we’ll call them “Potter Enterprises” – proposes a five-million dollar housing estate on the edge of downtown.

In support of its proposal Potter submits financial statements showing that they have an enormous amount of collateral making their large offering completely safe and risk free. The BB&L is impressed – they decide to lend to five smaller projects that don’t have nearly as much security and give the Potter group a five-million dollar loan based upon the assurance that everything they are proposing is completely risk free because there is so much security to back it up. Why – the “Mar-a-Potter” estate alone is worth $50 million and is mortgage free. Not to mention Mr. Potter’s apartment at Potter Tower worth another $10 million in equity.

Except – Potter lied. Mar-a-Potter is pledged to other banks already, and the Potter Tower apartment is about a third of the size he said. Potter only got the lion’s share of the fund because they overstated their assets – thus blocking other worthy applicants out of the market. Even if Potter pays back BB&L – there are four potential borrowers out there who have been cheated out of their chance to participate in the fund. Cheated out of their opportunity because Potter lied. Cheated out of their dreams. Oh – and by the way – the community at large has been cheated out of the benefits of their projects.

That’s what the law is meant to do – not simply to make sure the banks get paid back - but to protect the opportunity for those who tell the truth to get a fair shake when it comes to having their vision fulfilled. Even if the Trump’s of the world (for once) pay everybody back – they still cheated their way to the top. The law was passed to stop the same old fat cats from going back to feed at the trough every time there is money to be dispensed. The hurdle they have to overcome is quite minor – they just need to tell the truth – but if they don’t they can be sued – as Trump is finding out to his horror. Just don’t let him lie his way out of this one – this is not a victimless situation. 


 Lie Number Three – This is Only A Test 


Back in the day - late 1960’s, early 1970’s – when I would be lazing around in front of the family television, just home from school or just up on a Saturday with a bowl of Fruit Loops in front of me – there would often come on my screen a test pattern accompanied by an exceedingly annoying hum and closely followed by words to this effect: 


This is a test of the Emergency Broadcast SystemThis is only a test. Had this been an actual emergency you would have been instructed to tune to a local station for updates. This concludes this test of the Emergency Broadcast System. We now return you to your regularly scheduled program”.  


I often cannot remember why I went from the living room to the kitchen. But I remember that annoying squeal and those words pretty well.  Once the message had passed I would go back to watching re-runs of Gilligan’s Island or The Wild, Wild West and think nothing more of what had just crossed my screen. 


I think from the mid-1970’s – say around the time of Happy Days and Charlie’s Angels there started to be less and less of these “tests”Either the Emergency Broadcast System was working just fine and didn’t need to be tested – or the whole thing had just become passé. Still – from time to time the old EBS test would pop up – and I’m sure we were all safer for it. 


In truth the EBS was a relic of JFK’s New Frontier a softer, more modern version of the old “duck and cover” strategyIf the Russians were about to bomb us to oblivion we could all get regular updates if we followed instructions. In truth – the concept was a good one – there could be occasions (often weather driven) where getting people to tune to a single point of contact could help save livesThe EBS could be annoying – but it had its upside. I hadn’t, to be honest, thought of it in years. 


Decades removed from the day to day of American media as I am imagine my surprise this week when it turned out that the old EBS test had popped up in the news as one of the week’s bigger storiesIt seems that one of the increasingly rarer tests (which now encompasses mobile phones) has led to one of the craziest conspiracy theories ever being revivedIf you haven’t heard - the latest scuttlebutt is that the test scheduled for Tuesday was really a shamThe government’s real purpose in sending out the test warning was not to interrupt the viewing habits of children everywhere – but to activate the microscopic graphite-based receptors injected into everyone’s system via the bogus COVID vaccine program.

   

Those bastards and there I was standing in line to get pre-activated graphite shot into my arm – and no one even gave me so much as a lollipop. 

OK – spoiler alert – the test run this week will not “activate nano-particles” in your body via your cell phone or Smart TVWhile it is tragic that there was a severe shortage of lollipops at testing sites – there was also no concerted effort to spread mind-controlling micro-technology throughout the populaceThe Emergency Broadcast System has not been hijacked to turn us into zombies – especially given that the non-emergency broadcast system seems to be accomplishing that just fine, thank you.  

THE SHAMING OF THE TRUE (With Apologies to William Shakespeare)

  It is about time for my quadrennial “Letter to America” which is the view from afar that I try to post prior to every Presidential electio...